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Patriots vs. Bills odds, picks, spread, how to watch, live stream: Model gives NFL Wild Card game prediction

by Jyoti
January 14, 2022
Reading Time: 5 mins read

READ ALSO

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The last time New England was a Wild Card team in the NFL playoff bracket, Bill Belichick was on the Jets staff and Mac Jones was four months old. That game was in January 1999, so the Patriots are in unfamiliar territory for NFL Wild Card Weekend 2022. They will visit the Buffalo Bills, who surged into the postseason on a four-game winning streak. This meeting will be the rubber match between the AFC East teams after they split their regular season matchups, each winning on the other team’s home field. You can stream the game on Paramount+.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y. Caesars Sportsbook lists Buffalo as a four-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Patriots odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44. Saturday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Patriots vs. Bills

  • Bills vs. Patriots date: Saturday, Jan. 15
  • Bills vs. Patriots time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Bills vs. Patriots TV channel: CBS 
  • Bills vs. Patriots live stream: Paramount+

AFC Wild Card picks for Patriots vs. Bills

Before you tune in to Saturday’s Bills vs. Patriots game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Patriots vs. Bills, the model is backing Buffalo to cover the spread. New England went just 1-3 against the spread over its last four games, with the one cover coming against the struggling Jaguars. Meanwhile, the Bills went 3-0-1 against the spread over their last four, including covering as one-point underdogs against the Patriots in Week 16.

The Bills have averaged 161.8 rushing yards over the last five weeks compared to 96.8 through the first 12 games of the season. Run defense happens to be New England’s weakness, as it ranked 22nd in rushing yards allowed and 25th in yards per carry allowed. The model projects the Bills to be effective and efficient on the ground, with over 130 rushing yards while averaging over 5.0 yards per attempt.

That production allows Buffalo (-4) to cover well over 50 percent of the time, as the model projects the Bills to win by seven points. It also is expecting points to be at a premium, as the model has the Under hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more. 

Jyoti

Jyoti

Jyoti Upadhyay is a young digital marketing executive with an avid interest in content writing. She believes that there is something new to learn every day and from everyone. You can find more details about her, here.

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