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Is one team ready to make a big offer for Soto?

by Chuzde
July 31, 2022
Reading Time: 73 mins read
Juan Soto rumors

n”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.4″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.4.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.5″:{“content”:”**July 30: “Difficult to bet against San Diego” in pursuit of Soto (report)** nWhile the Cardinals and Dodgers could be in on Juan Soto, it’ll be difficult to “bet against” the Padres, writes The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal ([subscription required](https://theathletic.com/3462768/2022/07/30/mlb-cardinals-trade-deadline-soto-montas/)).nnSan Diego’s advantage in talks could be due in part to the Mariners’ trade for Luis Castillo, as Padres GM A.J. Preller operates in the same fearless manner as Seattle’s Jerry Dipoto, and in turn would be willing to give up more in return. While the Padres aren’t in the midst of a 20-year playoff drought like the Mariners, San Diego hasn’t made the playoffs in a full season since Preller’s hiring in 2014.nnPreller appears to be taking that full bore approach into his pursuit of Soto, with one executive telling Rosenthal there’s “no way (Preller) gives up on Soto. He’s the only one who will keep giving more and more.”nnAnother reason San Diego holds the advantage is due to the Cardinals being stuck in an “uncomfortable situation,” as the Athletics want some of the same prospects for starter Frankie Montas that the Nationals want for Soto, writes Rosenthal.nnWhile the Cardinals have a Montas-sized hole in their rotation due to injuries to starters Jack Flaherty and Steven Matz, there’s still a case for the Cardinals to be all in on Soto, as he’d be the perfect complement to Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado while also giving St. Louis some extra firepower for Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina’s final season.nnThat being said, Soto being traded isn’t a sure thing, writes Rosenthal, as National GM Mike Rizzo could hold onto Soto through the Trade Deadline and revisit trade talks in the offseason when the sale of the Nationals could be closer to resolution.nnEven if they stop their pursuit of Soto, the Cardinals could also end up priced out of Montas, as Rosenthal writes the acquisition cost for Montas is in the range of Castillo’s, which could end up being too much for Cardinals GM John Mozeliak. If Montas does end up becoming unobtainable, the Cardinals could end up testing the rental market by going after starters Noah Syndergaard, José Quintana, Nathan Eovaldi or Carlos Rodón.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6″:{“content”:”**July 30: How will Castillo trade impact Soto’s market?** nOne of the biggest dominoes of this year’s Trade Deadline has fallen. In a blockbuster deal, the Mariners acquired Reds right-hander Luis Castillo for four prospects. Shortstops Noelvi Marte and Edwin Arroyo, the Mariners’ Nos. 1 and 3 prospects, per MLB Pipeline, are part of the return package, along with right-hander Levi Stoudt, the No. 5 Mariners prospect, and unranked pitcher Andrew Moore.nnBefore Friday’s trade, Seattle was seen as one of the four frontrunners for the Nationals superstar outfielder, according to MLB Network insider Jon Heyman. Now, after trading away three of their top five prospects, the Mariners may have taken themselves out of the bidding for Soto. The Nationals are currently asking for five or six top prospects in exchange for the superstar, ESPN’s Jeff Passan reported — an asking price Seattle will now have a hard time matching.nnThe Castillo deal puts a spotlight on the other three teams that have reportedly been at the forefront of Soto trade talks — the Padres, Dodgers and Cardinals. Heyman also puts the Rangers in the mix, though he gives them a lower chance than San Diego, Los Angeles and St. Louis to acquire Soto.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.7″:{“content”:”**July 29: What are odds Soto gets traded by Deadline? (report)** nThe chances that Juan Soto gets traded before Tuesday’s Trade Deadline are “80-20,” according to ESPN’s Jeff Passan — and he said there are two clear favorites to land Soto. Speaking on Dan Patrick’s radio show, Passan said that the Nationals’ current asking price for Soto — reportedly five or six top prospects in exchange for the superstar — may be a bit too high, thus the 20% chance Soto doesn’t get moved by Tuesday.nnBut if general manager Mike Rizzo is willing to come down on that at all, then Soto could be playing in a new uniform by Tuesday. The “likeliest landing spots” remain the Padres and Dodgers, according to Passan, though the Cardinals and Mariners also remain in the mix.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.data”:{“html”:”

“If he [Mike Rizzo] continues to stick to the ask that he’s put out to teams up until this point, I’m not sure Juan Soto is going anywhere. He’s been asking for 125% of Juan Soto’s value.”

–@JeffPassan discusses the likelihood of Juan Soto getting movedhttps://t.co/A7PJZRSpqn pic.twitter.com/Iym4QKfjBD

— Dan Patrick Show (@dpshow) July 29, 2022

nn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.9″:{“content”:”**July 28: Padres leading race for Soto? Some execs think so** nWhile the Soto trade market remains fluid ahead of the Aug. 2 Trade Deadline, ESPN’s Buster Olney reports that some rival executives perceive the Padres to be the frontrunner to land the superstar outfielder as of Thursday morning.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10.data”:{“html”:”

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As of Thursday morning, some rival executives perceive the Padres to be the frontrunner to land Juan Soto.

— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) July 28, 2022

nn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.11″:{“content”:”There have been differing opinions in recent days as to which clubs are best positioned to acquire Soto. The Padres were the most common answer in a poll of 17 executives conducted by MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand, but the Cardinals have been prominently linked to Soto as well.nnThe Yankees haven’t indicated they are out on Soto, but MLB Network insider Jon Heyman notes that New York is clearly not currently at the “forefront” of trade talks with the Nats after acquiring outfielder Andrew Benintendi from the Royals on Wednesday.nnPer Heyman, the Padres, Cardinals, Dodgers and Rangers “seem more involved” in Soto trade discussions.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.data”:{“html”:”

While there’s no word the Yankees are officially out on Juan Soto it’s clear they aren’t currently at the forefront of those talks. So it makes sense they jumped on Andrew Benintendi. SD, STL, LAD and TEX, perhaps due to better prospect matches, seem more involved in Soto talks.

— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) July 28, 2022

nn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.13″:{“content”:”**July 27: Gorman to headline Cards’ package for Soto?** nWith the Cardinals reportedly ramping up their efforts to acquire Soto, one player in particular has emerged as the centerpiece of a potential trade package. According to Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat, negotiations between the two clubs have featured second baseman Nolan Gorman, along with Patrick Corbin as a salary dump.nnRanked by MLB Pipeline as baseball’s No. 33 prospect entering this season, Gorman is slashing .223/.299/.411 with 63 strikeouts (32.5% K%) through his first 54 big league games. But the 22-year-old — who hit 15 homers in 34 Triple-A games before his late-May callup — has shown flashes of his prodigious power, belting nine homers. According to Jones, St. Louis has also been pleased with Gorman’s progress at second base, where he moved before the 2021 season, following the team’s trade for third baseman Nolan Arenado.nnAccording to Jones, the Cardinals hope that including Gorman in a deal for Soto can keep them from parting with both third baseman Jordan Walker (MLB Pipeline’s No. 6 overall prospect) and shortstop Masyn Winn (No. 88).nnCorbin has struggled mightily since helping the Nationals win the 2019 World Series, posting a 5.66 ERA in 62 starts since the beginning of 2020. The 33-year-old lefty — who many executives believe will be included in any Soto trade — is still owed $59 million over the next two seasons, and while that might give some teams pause, Jones writes that the Cardinals might be more willing to take him on given the uncertainty surrounding Jack Flaherty (right shoulder strain) and Steven Matz — who is expected to miss an extended amount of time with a knee injury.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14″:{“content”:”**July 27: Rizzo says Soto leak “did not come from me for sure or our front office”** nIn a radio interview with 106.7 The Fan’s Sports Junkies show on July 27, Washington Nationals president of baseball operations Mike Rizzo emphatically stated the news of Juan Soto rejecting the National’s 15-year, $440 million contract extension offer wasn’t leaked by the team.nn”Unequivocally, it did not come from me for sure or our front office,” Rizzo said in the interview, as [relayed by The Washington Post’s Chelsea Janes.](https://twitter.com/chelsea_janes/status/1552279871438692353) “It didn’t help us in anything we were trying to do,” Rizzo said. “It didn’t help us keep a good relationship with Juan and it didn’t help us with leverage at the Trade Deadline. So it really hurt us.”nnRizzo was also lukewarm on the idea of attaching Patrick Corbin’s contract to Soto, saying “We’re not going to dilute the return for any player by including a bad contract.””,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.15″:{“content”:”**July 26:** **Why Cards might be perfect match for Soto trade** nAccording to ESPN’s Jeff Passan in an article for ESPN+ (subscription required), the Cardinals and Padres are viewed as the favorites to land Soto, with the former perhaps holding a slight edge because of its young talent.nnPassan lists third baseman Jordan Walker (MLB Pipeline’s No. 7 overall prospect) and shortstop Masyn Winn (No. 89 overall) as two prospects who could headline a St. Louis trade package for Soto. Passan also highlights right-hander Tink Hence — the club’s No. 9 prospect who has a 0.99 ERA in Low-A — and outfielder Alec Burleson — the team’s No. 8 prospect who is slashing .338/.379/.554 at Triple-A — as two other prospects who could be involved.nnIn addition to those four, Passan notes that righty Gordon Graceffo (the team’s No. 5 prospect) could also be in play, along with a few big league or big league-ready players in second baseman Nolan Gorman, outfielder Dylan Carlson or left-hander Matthew Liberatore.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.16″:{“content”:”**July 25: Is there a frontrunner for Soto?** nAmid ongoing trade talks involving Soto, execs appear to be split on which team is the frontrunner to land the superstar outfielder.nnMLB.com’s Mark Feinsand polled 17 MLB executives and asked them to name the three teams they think are the favorites to trade for Soto. The Padres were first with eight votes, followed by the Dodgers with seven. The Cardinals, Mariners, Mets, Rays and Yankees received three votes each to tie for third place.nnMeanwhile, an executive who spoke to The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal (subscription required) shared the opinion that the Friars are an overwhelming favorite.nn“I think San Diego is as likely as the other 28 teams combined,” the exec said. “They have the players and they have \[general manager A.J.\] Preller.”nnBut the Padres were not the most frequent response from the rival executives who talked to MLB Network insiders Jon Heyman and Joel Sherman. Rather, it was the Cardinals, as Heyman and Sherman reported in an article for the New York Post.nnAccording to Heyman and Sherman, potential Soto suitors have been told that the Nationals are currently focused on just one or two teams, and St. Louis is thought to be one of those teams.nnThe Cardinals have a strong farm system and several good young position players at the Major League level. Washington has made it known that the return for Soto will need to be four or five young players — some combination of players with low MLB service time and top prospects.nnSt. Louis is in a two-team race with the Brewers in the NL Central, and already have a pair of MVP candidates in the lineup — Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado. For a right-handed-heavy lineup, adding the left-handed Soto in between Goldschmidt and Arenado could be a game-changer in that division.nnThe Post report also suggests the Cardinals may not have to take on a large contract the Nats are trying to unload — namely, that of left-hander Patrick Corbin — because of the strong corps of young players, both at the big league and Minor League levels.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.17″:{“content”:”**July 23: Latest on Nats’ reported asking price for Soto** nThe Nats have begun to engage teams in trade talks for Soto and are asking for four to five young players, either prospects or big leaguers with low service time, The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal reported Saturday on FS1, citing conversations with multiple clubs.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.data”:{“html”:”

What’s the Nationals asking price for Juan Soto? @Ken_Rosenthal reports that it will take 4 to 5 top young players (combo of prospects and major leaguers with low service time) to potentially land the superstar pic.twitter.com/fefj20gO7P

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) July 23, 2022

nn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.19″:{“content”:”One executive told Rosenthal that Washington isn’t negotiating at this point. If a team isn’t willing to meet their asking price, the Nats move on. Of course, that could change if they make their way around MLB and aren’t able to find a suitable deal as we get closer to the Trade Deadline.nnDespite Washington’s lofty demands, multiple rival executives told ESPN’s Buster Olney that they think there’s a good possibility Soto will be moved before the Aug. 2 Deadline, as Olney wrote Saturday in an article for ESPN+ (subscription required).”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.20″:{“content”:”**July 23: Padres, Yanks among top Soto contenders** nWith so many clubs expected to be in on Soto before the Aug. 2 Trade Deadline, it’s hard to pick a frontrunner at this juncture, but the Padres seem likely to be among the top contenders in the Soto sweepstakes.nnAccording to ESPN’s Buster Olney in an article for ESPN+ (subscription required), rival executives view the Padres as “perhaps the most motivated team in the trade market, with an aggressive all-in mentality.”nnPadres outfielders have posted the sixth-lowest OPS (.643) in MLB this season, and their left-handed hitters have recorded a .706 OPS (12th lowest), so the need is there for a left-handed-hitting outfielder.nnSan Diego also is a fit based on what the Nats reportedly want in exchange for Soto, who is controllable through 2024. Per Olney, Washington has signaled to other teams that it is seeking young players on cheap contracts who are already in the Majors or prospects who are close to making their MLB debuts.nnThe Friars can offer a pair of rookies in shortstop C.J. Abrams and left-hander MacKenzie Gore, both of whom are former highly touted prospects. Three of San Diego’s current top six prospects have already played in the big leagues and No. 1 prospect Robert Hassell is projected to reach MLB by 2023. n nIf the Padres do decide to make a push for Soto, they could get serious competition from the Yankees, who reportedly have reached out to the Nats to express interest in acquiring the 23-year-old.nnThe Dodgers have been mentioned as a potential Soto suitor as well, though Olney notes that there is confidence within the organization in the current roster and concern about the number of prospects the team has surrendered in recent years to acquire stars such as Mookie Betts, Trea Turner and Max Scherzer. As a result, San Diego and New York may be more likely destinations than Los Angeles for Soto.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”juan-soto-rumors”,”type”:”story”}).parts.21″:{“content”:”**July 22: Why Corbin could be key to Soto trade** nCould the Nats consider trading Soto as part of a package deal? According to a report from CBS Sports, there are some rival executives who think left-hander Patrick Corbin will ultimately be included in any Soto trade. nnCorbin, 33, helped the Nats win the World Series in 2019 after signing a six-year, $140 million contract, but he has posted a 5.61 ERA in 61 starts since the beginning of 2020 and still has two years left on his deal after 2022. Corbin’s contract is backloaded, so he’s owed nearly $60 million after this season.nnAs CBS Sports’ R.J. Anderson points out, including Corbin in a Soto deal would serve two purposes: clearing more money off the books ahead of a potential sale of the team, and balancing the value equation.nnThe Nats obviously want to get the best deal possible for Soto, but his trade value is so high that they’re unlikely to find a team willing to give up enough in terms of young players and prospects to match his estimated value as a 23-year-old superstar with two-plus years of team control remaining. Agreeing to take on Corbin’s contract would be another way a team could sweeten the deal for Washington.nnOf course, requiring another team to absorb Corbin’s deal could further limit the number of suitors for Soto, likely eliminating any small-market clubs that might otherwise be interested but don’t have the budget to afford both Soto and 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He’s only 23 years old, has a power/plate-discipline combination that draws comparisons to Ted Williams, and he recently turned down a 15-year, $440 million contract extension offer from the Nationals. Juan Soto is now a potential trade candidate as Tuesday’s Trade Deadline approaches, and he has two years remaining after this season before he is eligible for free agency. We’re keeping track of all the latest Soto rumors here.

July 30: Padres willing to offer top young talent for Soto (sources)
The Padres are willing to discuss including three of their best young players as part of a deal for Juan Soto, sources told MLB.com’s Jon Paul Morosi. Those players are the team’s current top prospect, Robert Hassell III, its No. 1 prospect at the beginning of this season, shortstop C.J. Abrams, and highly touted left-handed pitcher Adrian Morejon.

Hassell, the No. 22 prospect in baseball according to MLB Pipeline, has an .847 OPS with 28 extra-base hits and 20 steals at High-A Fort Wayne this year. Abrams made his MLB debut on April 8 this season and has hit .231 across 121 at-bats entering Saturday.

Morejon was a Top 50 prospect entering the 2019 season. The 23-year-old missed most of last season following Tommy John surgery and has posted a 3.00 ERA in six appearances in the Majors this year.

#Padres are willing to discuss C.J. Abrams, Robert Hassell III, and Adrian Morejón in trade negotiations with #Nats on a potential Juan Soto deal, sources say. @MLB @MLBNetwork

— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) July 31, 2022

July 30: “Difficult to bet against San Diego” in pursuit of Soto (report)
While the Cardinals and Dodgers could be in on Juan Soto, it’ll be difficult to “bet against” the Padres, writes The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal (subscription required).

San Diego’s advantage in talks could be due in part to the Mariners’ trade for Luis Castillo, as Padres GM A.J. Preller operates in the same fearless manner as Seattle’s Jerry Dipoto, and in turn would be willing to give up more in return. While the Padres aren’t in the midst of a 20-year playoff drought like the Mariners, San Diego hasn’t made the playoffs in a full season since Preller’s hiring in 2014.

Preller appears to be taking that full bore approach into his pursuit of Soto, with one executive telling Rosenthal there’s “no way (Preller) gives up on Soto. He’s the only one who will keep giving more and more.”

Another reason San Diego holds the advantage is due to the Cardinals being stuck in an “uncomfortable situation,” as the Athletics want some of the same prospects for starter Frankie Montas that the Nationals want for Soto, writes Rosenthal.

While the Cardinals have a Montas-sized hole in their rotation due to injuries to starters Jack Flaherty and Steven Matz, there’s still a case for the Cardinals to be all in on Soto, as he’d be the perfect complement to Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado while also giving St. Louis some extra firepower for Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina’s final season.

That being said, Soto being traded isn’t a sure thing, writes Rosenthal, as National GM Mike Rizzo could hold onto Soto through the Trade Deadline and revisit trade talks in the offseason when the sale of the Nationals could be closer to resolution.

Even if they stop their pursuit of Soto, the Cardinals could also end up priced out of Montas, as Rosenthal writes the acquisition cost for Montas is in the range of Castillo’s, which could end up being too much for Cardinals GM John Mozeliak. If Montas does end up becoming unobtainable, the Cardinals could end up testing the rental market by going after starters Noah Syndergaard, José Quintana, Nathan Eovaldi or Carlos Rodón.

July 30: How will Castillo trade impact Soto’s market?
One of the biggest dominoes of this year’s Trade Deadline has fallen. In a blockbuster deal, the Mariners acquired Reds right-hander Luis Castillo for four prospects. Shortstops Noelvi Marte and Edwin Arroyo, the Mariners’ Nos. 1 and 3 prospects, per MLB Pipeline, are part of the return package, along with right-hander Levi Stoudt, the No. 5 Mariners prospect, and unranked pitcher Andrew Moore.

Before Friday’s trade, Seattle was seen as one of the four frontrunners for the Nationals superstar outfielder, according to MLB Network insider Jon Heyman. Now, after trading away three of their top five prospects, the Mariners may have taken themselves out of the bidding for Soto. The Nationals are currently asking for five or six top prospects in exchange for the superstar, ESPN’s Jeff Passan reported — an asking price Seattle will now have a hard time matching.

The Castillo deal puts a spotlight on the other three teams that have reportedly been at the forefront of Soto trade talks — the Padres, Dodgers and Cardinals. Heyman also puts the Rangers in the mix, though he gives them a lower chance than San Diego, Los Angeles and St. Louis to acquire Soto.

July 29: What are odds Soto gets traded by Deadline? (report)
The chances that Juan Soto gets traded before Tuesday’s Trade Deadline are “80-20,” according to ESPN’s Jeff Passan — and he said there are two clear favorites to land Soto. Speaking on Dan Patrick’s radio show, Passan said that the Nationals’ current asking price for Soto — reportedly five or six top prospects in exchange for the superstar — may be a bit too high, thus the 20% chance Soto doesn’t get moved by Tuesday.

But if general manager Mike Rizzo is willing to come down on that at all, then Soto could be playing in a new uniform by Tuesday. The “likeliest landing spots” remain the Padres and Dodgers, according to Passan, though the Cardinals and Mariners also remain in the mix.

July 28: Padres leading race for Soto? Some execs think so
While the Soto trade market remains fluid ahead of the Aug. 2 Trade Deadline, ESPN’s Buster Olney reports that some rival executives perceive the Padres to be the frontrunner to land the superstar outfielder as of Thursday morning.

As of Thursday morning, some rival executives perceive the Padres to be the frontrunner to land Juan Soto.

— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) July 28, 2022

There have been differing opinions in recent days as to which clubs are best positioned to acquire Soto. The Padres were the most common answer in a poll of 17 executives conducted by MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand, but the Cardinals have been prominently linked to Soto as well.

The Yankees haven’t indicated they are out on Soto, but MLB Network insider Jon Heyman notes that New York is clearly not currently at the “forefront” of trade talks with the Nats after acquiring outfielder Andrew Benintendi from the Royals on Wednesday.

Per Heyman, the Padres, Cardinals, Dodgers and Rangers “seem more involved” in Soto trade discussions.

While there’s no word the Yankees are officially out on Juan Soto it’s clear they aren’t currently at the forefront of those talks. So it makes sense they jumped on Andrew Benintendi. SD, STL, LAD and TEX, perhaps due to better prospect matches, seem more involved in Soto talks.

— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) July 28, 2022

July 27: Gorman to headline Cards’ package for Soto?
With the Cardinals reportedly ramping up their efforts to acquire Soto, one player in particular has emerged as the centerpiece of a potential trade package. According to Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat, negotiations between the two clubs have featured second baseman Nolan Gorman, along with Patrick Corbin as a salary dump.

Ranked by MLB Pipeline as baseball’s No. 33 prospect entering this season, Gorman is slashing .223/.299/.411 with 63 strikeouts (32.5% K%) through his first 54 big league games. But the 22-year-old — who hit 15 homers in 34 Triple-A games before his late-May callup — has shown flashes of his prodigious power, belting nine homers. According to Jones, St. Louis has also been pleased with Gorman’s progress at second base, where he moved before the 2021 season, following the team’s trade for third baseman Nolan Arenado.

According to Jones, the Cardinals hope that including Gorman in a deal for Soto can keep them from parting with both third baseman Jordan Walker (MLB Pipeline’s No. 6 overall prospect) and shortstop Masyn Winn (No. 88).

Corbin has struggled mightily since helping the Nationals win the 2019 World Series, posting a 5.66 ERA in 62 starts since the beginning of 2020. The 33-year-old lefty — who many executives believe will be included in any Soto trade — is still owed $59 million over the next two seasons, and while that might give some teams pause, Jones writes that the Cardinals might be more willing to take him on given the uncertainty surrounding Jack Flaherty (right shoulder strain) and Steven Matz — who is expected to miss an extended amount of time with a knee injury.

July 27: Rizzo says Soto leak “did not come from me for sure or our front office”
In a radio interview with 106.7 The Fan’s Sports Junkies show on July 27, Washington Nationals president of baseball operations Mike Rizzo emphatically stated the news of Juan Soto rejecting the National’s 15-year, $440 million contract extension offer wasn’t leaked by the team.

“Unequivocally, it did not come from me for sure or our front office,” Rizzo said in the interview, as relayed by The Washington Post’s Chelsea Janes. “It didn’t help us in anything we were trying to do,” Rizzo said. “It didn’t help us keep a good relationship with Juan and it didn’t help us with leverage at the Trade Deadline. So it really hurt us.”

Rizzo was also lukewarm on the idea of attaching Patrick Corbin’s contract to Soto, saying “We’re not going to dilute the return for any player by including a bad contract.”

July 26: Why Cards might be perfect match for Soto trade
According to ESPN’s Jeff Passan in an article for ESPN+ (subscription required), the Cardinals and Padres are viewed as the favorites to land Soto, with the former perhaps holding a slight edge because of its young talent.

Passan lists third baseman Jordan Walker (MLB Pipeline’s No. 7 overall prospect) and shortstop Masyn Winn (No. 89 overall) as two prospects who could headline a St. Louis trade package for Soto. Passan also highlights right-hander Tink Hence — the club’s No. 9 prospect who has a 0.99 ERA in Low-A — and outfielder Alec Burleson — the team’s No. 8 prospect who is slashing .338/.379/.554 at Triple-A — as two other prospects who could be involved.

In addition to those four, Passan notes that righty Gordon Graceffo (the team’s No. 5 prospect) could also be in play, along with a few big league or big league-ready players in second baseman Nolan Gorman, outfielder Dylan Carlson or left-hander Matthew Liberatore.

July 25: Is there a frontrunner for Soto?
Amid ongoing trade talks involving Soto, execs appear to be split on which team is the frontrunner to land the superstar outfielder.

MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand polled 17 MLB executives and asked them to name the three teams they think are the favorites to trade for Soto. The Padres were first with eight votes, followed by the Dodgers with seven. The Cardinals, Mariners, Mets, Rays and Yankees received three votes each to tie for third place.

Meanwhile, an executive who spoke to The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal (subscription required) shared the opinion that the Friars are an overwhelming favorite.

“I think San Diego is as likely as the other 28 teams combined,” the exec said. “They have the players and they have [general manager A.J.] Preller.”

But the Padres were not the most frequent response from the rival executives who talked to MLB Network insiders Jon Heyman and Joel Sherman. Rather, it was the Cardinals, as Heyman and Sherman reported in an article for the New York Post.

According to Heyman and Sherman, potential Soto suitors have been told that the Nationals are currently focused on just one or two teams, and St. Louis is thought to be one of those teams.

The Cardinals have a strong farm system and several good young position players at the Major League level. Washington has made it known that the return for Soto will need to be four or five young players — some combination of players with low MLB service time and top prospects.

St. Louis is in a two-team race with the Brewers in the NL Central, and already have a pair of MVP candidates in the lineup — Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado. For a right-handed-heavy lineup, adding the left-handed Soto in between Goldschmidt and Arenado could be a game-changer in that division.

The Post report also suggests the Cardinals may not have to take on a large contract the Nats are trying to unload — namely, that of left-hander Patrick Corbin — because of the strong corps of young players, both at the big league and Minor League levels.

July 23: Latest on Nats’ reported asking price for Soto
The Nats have begun to engage teams in trade talks for Soto and are asking for four to five young players, either prospects or big leaguers with low service time, The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal reported Saturday on FS1, citing conversations with multiple clubs.

What’s the Nationals asking price for Juan Soto? @Ken_Rosenthal reports that it will take 4 to 5 top young players (combo of prospects and major leaguers with low service time) to potentially land the superstar pic.twitter.com/fefj20gO7P

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) July 23, 2022

One executive told Rosenthal that Washington isn’t negotiating at this point. If a team isn’t willing to meet their asking price, the Nats move on. Of course, that could change if they make their way around MLB and aren’t able to find a suitable deal as we get closer to the Trade Deadline.

Despite Washington’s lofty demands, multiple rival executives told ESPN’s Buster Olney that they think there’s a good possibility Soto will be moved before the Aug. 2 Deadline, as Olney wrote Saturday in an article for ESPN+ (subscription required).

July 23: Padres, Yanks among top Soto contenders
With so many clubs expected to be in on Soto before the Aug. 2 Trade Deadline, it’s hard to pick a frontrunner at this juncture, but the Padres seem likely to be among the top contenders in the Soto sweepstakes.

According to ESPN’s Buster Olney in an article for ESPN+ (subscription required), rival executives view the Padres as “perhaps the most motivated team in the trade market, with an aggressive all-in mentality.”

Padres outfielders have posted the sixth-lowest OPS (.643) in MLB this season, and their left-handed hitters have recorded a .706 OPS (12th lowest), so the need is there for a left-handed-hitting outfielder.

San Diego also is a fit based on what the Nats reportedly want in exchange for Soto, who is controllable through 2024. Per Olney, Washington has signaled to other teams that it is seeking young players on cheap contracts who are already in the Majors or prospects who are close to making their MLB debuts.

The Friars can offer a pair of rookies in shortstop C.J. Abrams and left-hander MacKenzie Gore, both of whom are former highly touted prospects. Three of San Diego’s current top six prospects have already played in the big leagues and No. 1 prospect Robert Hassell is projected to reach MLB by 2023.

If the Padres do decide to make a push for Soto, they could get serious competition from the Yankees, who reportedly have reached out to the Nats to express interest in acquiring the 23-year-old.

The Dodgers have been mentioned as a potential Soto suitor as well, though Olney notes that there is confidence within the organization in the current roster and concern about the number of prospects the team has surrendered in recent years to acquire stars such as Mookie Betts, Trea Turner and Max Scherzer. As a result, San Diego and New York may be more likely destinations than Los Angeles for Soto.

July 22: Why Corbin could be key to Soto trade
Could the Nats consider trading Soto as part of a package deal? According to a report from CBS Sports, there are some rival executives who think left-hander Patrick Corbin will ultimately be included in any Soto trade. 

Corbin, 33, helped the Nats win the World Series in 2019 after signing a six-year, $140 million contract, but he has posted a 5.61 ERA in 61 starts since the beginning of 2020 and still has two years left on his deal after 2022. Corbin’s contract is backloaded, so he’s owed nearly $60 million after this season.

As CBS Sports’ R.J. Anderson points out, including Corbin in a Soto deal would serve two purposes: clearing more money off the books ahead of a potential sale of the team, and balancing the value equation.

The Nats obviously want to get the best deal possible for Soto, but his trade value is so high that they’re unlikely to find a team willing to give up enough in terms of young players and prospects to match his estimated value as a 23-year-old superstar with two-plus years of team control remaining. Agreeing to take on Corbin’s contract would be another way a team could sweeten the deal for Washington.

Of course, requiring another team to absorb Corbin’s deal could further limit the number of suitors for Soto, likely eliminating any small-market clubs that might otherwise be interested but don’t have the budget to afford both Soto and Corbin.

Chuzde

Chuzde

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