Shortages of body armor. Radios so antiquated they are the butt of jokes from other NATO soldiers. A dysfunctional procurement system that takes years just to acquire shoulder patches.
After decades of budget cuts, the German military is woefully short of basic supplies, whether they’re bullets or backpacks. But galvanized by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Chancellor Olaf Scholz has pledged to spend 100 billion euros, or $105 billion, to modernize the force, nearly tripling military spending from the previous year.
The quantum leap in arms expenditures “is long overdue,” said Wolfgang Richter, a retired colonel in the German Army who is now with the German Institute for International and Security Affairs in Berlin. “For a long time we believed that economic strength was enough. But the events of the past few weeks have shown that we also need a strong military.”
The military’s wish list includes new ships, new helicopters, and more tanks and other armored vehicles. But it may take years to deploy the money and make the German Army, with 184,000 soldiers, an effective deterrent to Russia, experts say.
It’s not for lack of a German arms industry, including major manufacturers like Rheinmetall, which makes armored vehicles, and Rohde & Schwarz, which provides military communications equipment. Volkswagen’s Traton unit has a joint venture with Rheinmetall to produce military vehicles.
And there is Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, which has kept its factory in Munich busy by selling Leopard 2 main battle tanks to numerous foreign armies. In fact, German defense contractors export almost as many arms as they sell to their own country’s military.
In halls the size of airplane hangars, mechanics and technicians at Krauss-Maffei Wegmann currently work just one flexible shift, updating and repairing tanks and armored vehicles used by the armed forces of 19 countries.
On a recent weekday, amid hulking vehicles parked in bays that line the repair halls, an employee drove a new Leopard into position, then used a crane to remove a turret that needed adjusting. In addition to the tanks, several newly made Boxer armored personnel carriers were being prepared for Lithuania, one for medical emergencies and another to carry troops.
Ralf Ketzel, a former artillery officer who is Krauss-Maffei Wegmann’s chief executive, said it would take no more than two years to begin delivering the several hundred Leopard 2s and Pumas — a kind of combination tank and armored personnel carrier — that Germany’s three combat divisions needed.
“The situation is not as bleak as it is sometimes portrayed,” Mr. Ketzel said.
Germany’s rearmament amounts to a kind of economic stimulus program on a wider scale, because German contractors buy supplies from around the continent, and the military buys directly from European and American companies. The German Defense Ministry has said it wants to order F-35 fighter jets made by Lockheed Martin to replace aging Tornado fighters.
Carl Jonasson, the chief executive of Snigel Design, a Swedish maker of backpacks, camouflage cloaks and other combat apparel, was surprised to receive an order from Germany recently.
“It’s just mind-blowing numbers, at least for European standards,” Mr. Jonasson said of Germany’s €100 billion war chest.
As impressive as that sum sounds, it will not be enough for Germany to make up for years of inadequate spending, according to the Ifo Institute, an economics research organization in Munich. To meet its North Atlantic Treaty Organization quota in the long term, Germany must commit another €25 billion a year, Ifo economists said in a recent report.
Mr. Scholz has promised that defense spending in coming years would amount to more than 2 percent of national output, the minimum agreed upon by NATO members. His declaration was hailed as a “Zeitenwende,” a historic turning point.
In another indication of the shift in the political mood, the German Parliament agreed in April to provide lethal weapons and defense systems to Ukraine, overcoming Germans’ post-World War II reluctance to getting involved in armed conflicts. German manufacturers have provided the government with lists of weapons, armored vehicles and defense systems they could supply quickly to the Ukrainian Army.
But Germany’s capacity to aid Ukraine is limited because its own military does not have all the modern equipment it needs. Much of what Germany is offering Ukraine is older equipment that has been in storage and needs to be refurbished and modernized.
Moreover, many defense companies, accustomed to shrinking expenditures, have cut manufacturing capacity and will need several years to ramp up production. Suppliers may not be able to provide necessary parts in time, or may have gone out of business.
And often Germany’s procurement system is agonizingly slow. Delivery of a new assault rifle manufactured by Heckler & Koch, which also supplies the US Marine Corps, is seven years behind schedule because of a German law that allows the losing bidder for a defense contract to challenge the decision in court.
Not long after Mr. Scholz announced the increase in spending, the Defense Ministry summoned executives of major contractors to Berlin. One of the messages: Stop suing one another and work as a team, according to three people with knowledge of the meeting. The Defense Ministry declined to comment.
Germany has long had an ambivalent relationship with its military because of its association with Nazi atrocities in World War II. During the Cold War, Germany was on the front lines. West Germany stood with NATO while East Germany was allied with the Soviet Union. Both had formidable armies.
At the same time, a strong pacifist strain influenced West German politics. After reunification and the collapse of the Soviet Union, there was little support for a large military. The German Army reoriented itself for foreign deployments in Kosovo or Afghanistan, rather than national defence.
“We had hoped that after the Cold War and the fall of the Berlin Wall, there would be lasting peace in Europe and that we could establish a European order of peace together with Russia,” said Eva Högl, a lawmaker for Mr. Scholz’s party, the Social Democrats, who serves as armed forces commissioner in Parliament. “This belief has been brutally shattered, and consequently there is now a new appreciation for the necessity of the military.”
The Russia-Ukraine War and the Global Economy
A far-reaching conflict. Russia’s invasion on Ukraine has had a ripple effect across the globe, adding to the stock market’s woes. The conflict has caused— dizzying spikes in gas prices and product shortages, and is pushing Europe to reconsider its reliance on Russian energy sources.
A March report to Parliament by Ms. Högl detailed the armed forces’ shortcomings, including shortages of basic equipment like body armor and winter jackets. The system for buying supplies is so dysfunctional that an intelligence unit was waiting to receive uniform insignia it ordered in 2020.
During maneuvers in Lithuania, according to the report, German soldiers were laughed at by soldiers from other NATO armies because they didn’t know how to use the latest communications equipment. The radios they had trained with in Germany were obsolete.
In 1989, when the Berlin Wall fell, West Germany had 12 divisions and nearly half a million soldiers facing the collective armies of the Communist Warsaw Pact, which was controlled by Moscow. Now it is struggling to meet its obligation to contribute three combat-ready divisions to NATO. It has about 300 tanks in operating condition, compared with around 4,000 at the end of the Cold War.
Many Social Democrats who now lead the governing coalition have planned economic and political ties with Russia, following the lead of Gerhard Schröder, the former chancellor. They promoted projects that made Germany dependent on Russian gas on the mistaken premise that economic ties would restrain Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin. The party’s past affinity for Russia makes for an awkward transition to a more muscular military stance.
Defense contractors say they are still waiting to hear how most of the €100 billion will be allocated.
“While we are certainly in regular and constant contacts with our German customer side, we are not really in the position yet to specify possible impacts of proposed spending on our business,” David Voskuhl, vice president of public relations for Diehl Defense, an Ammunition supplier, said in an email.
But before Germany can consider costly new weapons systems, it must address basic needs. Probably €20 billion will be needed just to refill ammunition depots, according to some estimates. Ships have so few rounds for their cannons that they would run out after a few salvos, experts say. Another €20 billion or more will be needed to buy modern communications equipment. More than €2 billion will be used for the everyday needs of foot soldiers, like backpacks.
Contractors, eager to take advantage of Germany’s newfound military commitments, are adopting a can-do attitude.
Days after Russia invaded Ukraine in late February, Rheinmetall sent the government a list of weapons, defense systems and vehicles it said it could quickly supply to the army. Krauss-Maffei Wegmann told Berlin that it could deliver several dozen Gepard mobile antiaircraft systems that the German Army decommissioned more than a decade ago.
Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht said recently that up to 50 of the vehicles, capable of shooting down Russian jets, could be sent to Ukraine. Ukrainian crews would get six to eight weeks of training in Germany.
But first the Gepards would need servicing and upgrading after years of standing parked on Krauss-Maffei Wegmann’s sprawling grounds. The company is waiting for a confirmed order from the government before work begins, said Christian Budde, a for the company.
There is still a risk that plans to increase spending could be delayed or undone by political wrangling. But support for a strong military has probably never been higher since the end of the Cold War.
“Through the war in Ukraine,” said Ms. Högl, the armed services commissioner, “many Germans have realized why we have the military and why it is urgently needed, namely to defend peace, democracy and security.”
Melissa Eddy reported from Munich, and Jack Ewing from New York. Christopher F. Schuetze contributed reporting from Berlin.